Session:5 Continuous Random Variables

Solutions

Introductory Business Statistics | Leadership Development – Micro-Learning Session

Rice University 2020 | Michael Laverty, Colorado State University Global Chris Littel, North Carolina State University| https://openstax.org/details/books/introductory-business-statistics

1

Uniform Distribution

3

Normal Distribution

5

P(6 < x < 7)

7

one

9

zero

11

one

13

0.625

15

The probability is equal to the area from x = 32

32 to x = 4 above the x-axis and up to f(x) = 13

13.

17

It means that the value of x is just as likely to be any number between 1.5 and 4.5.

19

1.5 ≤ x ≤ 4.5

21

0.3333

23

zero

24

0.6

26

b is 12, and it represents the highest value of x.

28

six

30.

This graph shows a uniform distribution. The horizontal axis ranges from 0 to 12. The distribution is modeled by a rectangle extending from x = 0 to x = 12. A region from x = 9 to x = 12 is shaded inside the rectangle.
Figure 5.38

33

X = The age (in years) of cars in the staff parking lot

35

0.5 to 9.5

37

f(x) = 19

19 where x is between 0.5 and 9.5, inclusive.

39

μ = 5

41

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. 3.57
    3.57
     

43

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. k = 7.25
  3. 7.25

45

No, outcomes are not equally likely. In this distribution, more people require a little bit of time, and fewer people require a lot of time, so it is more likely that someone will require less time.

47

five

49

f(x) = 0.2e-0.2x

51

0.5350

53

6.02

55

f(x) = 0.75e-0.75x

57.

This graph shows an exponential distribution. The graph slopes downward. It begins at the point (0, 0.75) on the y-axis and approaches the x-axis at the right edge of the graph. The decay parameter, m, equals 0.75.
Figure 5.39

59

0.4756

61

The mean is larger. The mean is 1m=10.751.33

1=10.751.33, which is greater than 0.9242.

63

continuous

65

m = 0.000121

67

  1. Check student’s solution
  2. P(x < 5,730) = 0.5001

69

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. k = 2947.73

71

Age is a measurement, regardless of the accuracy used.

73

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. f(x)=18
    ()=18
     

    where 1x9 19 

  3. five
  4. 2.3
  5. 1532
    1532
     
  6. 333800
    333800
     
  7. 23
    23
     

75

  1. X represents the length of time a commuter must wait for a train to arrive on the Red Line.
  2. Graph the probability distribution.
  3. f(x)=18
    ()=18
     

    where 0 ≤ x ≤ 8

  4. four
  5. 2.31
  6. 18
    18
     
  7. 18
    18
     

77

d

78

b

80

  1. The probability density function of X is 12516=19
    12516=19
     

    .
    P(X > 19) = (25 – 19) (19) (19) 

    69 69 

    23 23 

    .

    Figure 5.40
  2. P(19 < X < 22) = (22 – 19) (19)
    (19)
     

    39 39 

    13 13 

    .

    Figure 5.41
  3. This is a conditional probability question. P(x > 21 |
    |
     

    x > 18). You can do this two ways:

    • Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is 1(2518)
      1(2518)
       

      17 17 


      So, P(x > 21 | | 

      x > 18) = (25 – 21)(17) (17) 

      = 4/7.

    • Use the formula: P(x > 21 |
      |
       

      x > 18) = P(x>21x>18)P(x>18) (>21>18)(>18) 


      P(x>21)P(x>18) (>21)(>18) 

      (2521)(2518) (2521)(2518) 

      47 47 

      .

82

  1. P(X > 650) = 700650700300=50400=18
    700650700300=50400=18
     

    = 0.125

  2. P(400 < X < 650) = 650400700300=250400
    650400700300=250400
     

    = 0.625

84

  1. X = the useful life of a particular car battery, measured in months.
  2. X is continuous.
  3. 40 months
  4. 360 months
  5. 0.4066
  6. 14.27

86

  1. X = the time (in years) after reaching age 60 that it takes an individual to retire
  2. X is continuous.
  3. five
  4. five
  5. Check student’s solution.
  6. 0.1353
  7. before
  8. 18.3

88

a

90

c

92

Let X = the number of no-hitters throughout a season. Since the duration of time between no-hitters is exponential, the number of no-hitters per season is Poisson with mean λ = 3.
Therefore, (X = 0) = 30e30!

3030! = e–3 ≈ 0.0498

NOTE

You could let T = duration of time between no-hitters. Since the time is exponential and there are 3 no-hitters per season, then the time between no-hitters is 13

13 season. For the exponential, µ = 13

13.
Therefore, m = 1μ

1 = 3 and T ∼ Exp(3).

  1. The desired probability is P(T > 1) = 1 – P(T < 1) = 1 – (1 – e–3) = e–3 ≈ 0.0498.
  2. Let T = duration of time between no-hitters. We find P(T > 2|T > 1), and by the memoryless property this is simply P(T > 1), which we found to be 0.0498 in part a.
  3. Let X = the number of no-hitters is a season. Assume that X is Poisson with mean λ = 3. Then P(X > 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3) = 0.3528.

94

  1. 1009
    1009
     

    = 11.11

  2. P(X > 10) = 1 – P(X ≤ 10) = 1 – Poissoncdf(11.11, 10) ≈ 0.5532.
  3. The number of people with Type B blood encountered roughly follows the Poisson distribution, so the number of people X who arrive between successive Type B arrivals is roughly exponential with mean μ = 9 and m = 19
    19
     

    . The cumulative distribution function of X is P(X<x)=1ex9 (<)=19 

    . Thus, P(X > 20) = 1 – P(X ≤ 20) = 1(1e209)0.1084. 1(1209)0.1084. 

NOTE

We could also deduce that each person arriving has a 8/9 chance of not having Type B blood. So the probability that none of the first 20 people arrive have Type B blood is (89)200.0948

(89)200.0948. (The geometric distribution is more appropriate than the exponential because the number of people between Type B people is discrete instead of continuous.)

96

Let T = duration (in minutes) between successive visits. Since patients arrive at a rate of one patient every seven minutes, μ = 7 and the decay constant is m = 17

17. The cdf is P(T < t) = 1et7

17 

  1. P(T < 2) = 1 – 1e27
    127
     

    ≈ 0.2485.

  2. P(T > 15) = 1P(T<15)=1(1e157)e1570.1173
    1(<15)=1(1157)1570.1173
     

    .

  3. P(T > 15|T > 10) = P(T > 5) = 1(1e57)=e570.4895
    1(157)=570.4895
     

    .

  4. Let X = # of patients arriving during a half-hour period. Then X has the Poisson distribution with a mean of 307
    307
     

    X ∼ Poisson(307) (307) 

    . Find P(X > 8) = 1 – P(X ≤ 8) ≈ 0.0311.

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