Session:5 Continuous Random Variables
Solutions
Introductory Business Statistics | Leadership Development – Micro-Learning Session
Rice University 2020 | Michael Laverty, Colorado State University Global Chris Littel, North Carolina State University| https://openstax.org/details/books/introductory-business-statistics
1.
Uniform Distribution
3.
Normal Distribution
5.
P(6 < x < 7)
7.
one
9.
zero
11.
one
13.
0.625
15.
The probability is equal to the area from x = 32
to x = 4 above the x-axis and up to f(x) = 13
.
17.
It means that the value of x is just as likely to be any number between 1.5 and 4.5.
19.
1.5 ≤ x ≤ 4.5
21.
0.3333
23.
zero
24.
0.6
26.
b is 12, and it represents the highest value of x.
28.
six
30.
33.
X = The age (in years) of cars in the staff parking lot
35.
0.5 to 9.5
37.
f(x) = 19
where x is between 0.5 and 9.5, inclusive.
39.
μ = 5
41.
- Check student’s solution.
- 3.57
43.
- Check student’s solution.
- k = 7.25
- 7.25
45.
No, outcomes are not equally likely. In this distribution, more people require a little bit of time, and fewer people require a lot of time, so it is more likely that someone will require less time.
47.
five
49.
f(x) = 0.2e-0.2x
51.
0.5350
53.
6.02
55.
f(x) = 0.75e-0.75x
57.
59.
0.4756
61.
The mean is larger. The mean is 1m=10.75≈1.33
, which is greater than 0.9242.
63.
continuous
65.
m = 0.000121
67.
- Check student’s solution
- P(x < 5,730) = 0.5001
69.
- Check student’s solution.
- k = 2947.73
71.
Age is a measurement, regardless of the accuracy used.
73.
- Check student’s solution.
- f(x)=18
where 1≤x≤9
- five
- 2.3
- 1532
- 333800
- 23
75.
- X represents the length of time a commuter must wait for a train to arrive on the Red Line.
- Graph the probability distribution.
- f(x)=18
where 0 ≤ x ≤ 8
- four
- 2.31
- 18
- 18
77.
d
78.
b
80.
- The probability density function of X is 125−16=19
.
P(X > 19) = (25 – 19) (19)= 69
= 23
.
Figure 5.40 - P(19 < X < 22) = (22 – 19) (19)
= 39
= 13
.
Figure 5.41 - This is a conditional probability question. P(x > 21 |
x > 18). You can do this two ways:
- Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is 1(25−18)
= 17
So, P(x > 21 |x > 18) = (25 – 21)(17)
= 4/7.
- Use the formula: P(x > 21 |
x > 18) = P(x>21∩x>18)P(x>18)
= P(x>21)P(x>18)= (25−21)(25−18)
= 47
.
- Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is 1(25−18)
82.
- P(X > 650) = 700−650700−300=50400=18
= 0.125
- P(400 < X < 650) = 650−400700−300=250400
= 0.625
84.
- X = the useful life of a particular car battery, measured in months.
- X is continuous.
- 40 months
- 360 months
- 0.4066
- 14.27
86.
- X = the time (in years) after reaching age 60 that it takes an individual to retire
- X is continuous.
- five
- five
- Check student’s solution.
- 0.1353
- before
- 18.3
88.
a
90.
c
92.
Let X = the number of no-hitters throughout a season. Since the duration of time between no-hitters is exponential, the number of no-hitters per season is Poisson with mean λ = 3.
Therefore, (X = 0) = 30e–30!
= e–3 ≈ 0.0498
NOTE
You could let T = duration of time between no-hitters. Since the time is exponential and there are 3 no-hitters per season, then the time between no-hitters is 13
season. For the exponential, µ = 13
.
Therefore, m = 1μ
= 3 and T ∼ Exp(3).
- The desired probability is P(T > 1) = 1 – P(T < 1) = 1 – (1 – e–3) = e–3 ≈ 0.0498.
- Let T = duration of time between no-hitters. We find P(T > 2|T > 1), and by the memoryless property this is simply P(T > 1), which we found to be 0.0498 in part a.
- Let X = the number of no-hitters is a season. Assume that X is Poisson with mean λ = 3. Then P(X > 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3) = 0.3528.
94.
- 1009
= 11.11
- P(X > 10) = 1 – P(X ≤ 10) = 1 – Poissoncdf(11.11, 10) ≈ 0.5532.
- The number of people with Type B blood encountered roughly follows the Poisson distribution, so the number of people X who arrive between successive Type B arrivals is roughly exponential with mean μ = 9 and m = 19
. The cumulative distribution function of X is P(X<x)=1−e−x9
. Thus, P(X > 20) = 1 – P(X ≤ 20) = 1−(1−e−209)≈0.1084.
NOTE
We could also deduce that each person arriving has a 8/9 chance of not having Type B blood. So the probability that none of the first 20 people arrive have Type B blood is (89)20≈0.0948
. (The geometric distribution is more appropriate than the exponential because the number of people between Type B people is discrete instead of continuous.)
96.
Let T = duration (in minutes) between successive visits. Since patients arrive at a rate of one patient every seven minutes, μ = 7 and the decay constant is m = 17
. The cdf is P(T < t) = 1−et7
- P(T < 2) = 1 – 1−e−27
≈ 0.2485.
- P(T > 15) = 1−P(T<15)=1−(1−e−157)≈e−157≈0.1173
.
- P(T > 15|T > 10) = P(T > 5) = 1−(1−e−57)=e−57≈0.4895
.
- Let X = # of patients arriving during a half-hour period. Then X has the Poisson distribution with a mean of 307
, X ∼ Poisson(307)
. Find P(X > 8) = 1 – P(X ≤ 8) ≈ 0.0311.